IT'S HAPPENING

Analysis: Michigan GOP holds absentee ballot edge

archive.fo/stWY5

Ballots returned in Detroit are down by 20% compared to 2012.

Other urls found in this thread:

thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/governor-races/304090-republican-voters-coming-home-to-trump
politico.com/story/2016/11/poll-shy-voters-trump-230667#ixzz4P4EvkIYj
twitter.com/NSFWRedditImage

I will be very proud of my state if we can make it go red this year.

How many Trump/Hillary supporters do you know?

ANNEXATION OF ALL OF MICHIGAN'S RIGHTFUL CLAY SOON

MIfag here. My neighborhood had a lot of Onigger yardsigns in 08 and 12. Now, it's mostly Trump.

i know no Hillary supporters and i know an even number of Trump/third party/non voters.

Is Michigan okay if you don't count Detroit?

and this is coming from a "college" town

I filled out my absentee on the 10th but just put it in a few days ago (had to dig through the local choices around my everyday errands)
Good to see other people in Michigan aren't cucked.
I made a wrong turn into a really shitty blighted neighborhood and finally saw a Hillary sign that wasn't for prison.
Looking gud as long as they don't cheat.

With Trump, we will make Detroit like it was before it became Detroit.

yes, especially if you like nature.

Collegeites are going to be sending in absentee ballots for their respective home states, user.

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Hope with Trump getting in we also get the permitless carry turned into actual law.

That's the one important point here.

Unlike the 2 previous elections, black people will be very likely to stay home. Maybe latinos will participate a little more than usual, but it wont be close enough to bridge de gap black people will do.

This will swing states like North Carolina for Trump.

nigger turnout is low everywhere this year. it could win him PA.

I thought that a weird feature of this election is that only about 80 percent of registered Republicans are voting for Trump, which means their interpretation in this article is off:

This sounds like the Democrats are likely to be well ahead. I have on confidence in this particular journalist's reporting.

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user, the % at which Democrats and Republicans are voting for their party's nominee is pretty much the same. What matter more is the % at which they are voting for the other major party (so not Stein or Johnson). Trump is likely to get a considerably bigger share of registered Democrats than Hillary is of registered Republicans.

I like that Bill specifically planned to inject Michigan with the bigass wave of migrants.
Detroit's bad rep has pretty much been eclipsed by Chicago being out of fucking control.
Detroit has changed to be mainly hipster fusion restaurants and most of the previous population moved out before that gentrification started spouting (into surrounding areas that now have a higher crime rate).
We're just getting over that shit and they want to drop the migrant crisis on our ass.

That's exactly what's going to happen. Liberals don't really like niggers, they simply see them as their pets.

not from sources I've read:
"David Winston, a GOP pollster, noted that Romney in 2012 received 93 percent support from voters who identified as Republican, according to exit polls. In most current polls, Trump is a notch lower.

“He was pretty consistently — up to a couple of weeks ago — clearly underperforming,” Winston said of Trump. “One of the things you’ve seen is that he has slowly got back to somewhere between 85 and 90 percent [of Republican voters]. But he’s still a bit short.”"
thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/governor-races/304090-republican-voters-coming-home-to-trump

Also:
The first IBD tracking poll appeared on Oct. 19 and showed Trump receiving the support of 82 percent of Republicans. That figure had climbed to 88 percent by Wednesday. The ABC News/Washington Post tracker first appeared on Oct. 23, giving Trump 83 percent GOP support. He is now up to 88 percent in the same poll.

Just because they're not voting for Trump doesn't mean they're voting for Hillary. Besides that, he's getting tons of support from independents and people who normally don't vote, and you also didn't show me what percentage of registered Democrats are voting for Hillary.

this is why trump is actually winning by at least 4 or 5 points right now. first time voters rarely get polled.

It already happened in the primaries. There was a bunch of lefty salt over low information voters voting for shillary. Some even went all out and named the niggers.

It's a weird election. People who usually don't vote at all are voting Trump. Establishment Republicans are voting Hillary, since she's made a push to the center right. Bernie voters are going for Hillary or maybe Stein or staying at home. Optimism for Trump relies on the "Shy Trump voter" hypothesis, of which I'm pretty skeptical.

"Poll: 'Shy Trump' voters are a mirage"
"A new study suggests an army of hidden Trump supporters is unlikely to materialize on Election Day."
By Steven Shepard
11/03/16 08:58 AM EDT


Read more: politico.com/story/2016/11/poll-shy-voters-trump-230667#ixzz4P4EvkIYj
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook

it's not just first timers. people who haven't voted in over 30 years are coming back.

yep, my uncle hasn't voted since 96 (perot) and he's voting for Trump

I went to college in Michigan and I'd guess that 90-95% of the students at your average Michigan college are from Michigan and the rest are from Ohio and only a small minority from out of state.

Generally when people go out of state it's to go to overpriced art schools in California or to save money by going to school in Southern states. No real incentive to go to school in MI if you're not from there. We did have a few Canadian transplants getting their hockey scholarships but it was a small team.

Kill yourself.

Not a Hillary supporter.
I'm an info geek / policy wonk and like reliable, empirical sources. Politico is one of the better places for base information on what's happening in the election, from both left and right perspectives.

You dun goofed, America.

the liberal salt on tuesday is going to be glorious

Expect insane liberals to start shooting blacks after Trump's victory while wearing pro-hillary shirts and holding their guns sideways like a bunch of wigger idiots.

Can't we just make Canada pay for it?

and it's not even factoring in all the reagan working class democrats who are crossing the aisle to vote trump

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No it isn't, several Politico journalists have been caught colluding with the DNC and Hillary campaign, as revealed on the emails by Wikileaks.

that doesn't sound falseflaggy enough for me to believe.

please go to reddit

Either this is your first day here, you're incredibly naive or you're a new shill.


Put simply: NO SOURCES THAT THE (((MEDIA))) DOESNT DEMONIZE ARE TO BE TRUSTED AT ALL. "What is good for the Jews", "Who benefits?", "Follow the Money" and "always do the opposite of what they want you to do" are crucial to keep in mind.

Alternative news media can also be suspect.

You know what. I actually appreciate this post. This kind of open straightforward shilling is refreshing compared to all the other CTR D&C tactics. Good for you, shill.

Some Politico journalists lean left, some lean right. I enjoy their anonymous quoting of Republican and Democrat sources from each state. Admittedly, overall their journalists probably lean more left, but it's not a source I dismiss outright.


Not my first time, but I don't stop by often. Just curious for election perspectives. We have to get our information from somewhere, so we do the best we can with available sources, keeping in mind various vested interests and possible sources of bias.


That's because I'm not shilling. I just think that it's weird this year how the intended voting doesn't line up as cleanly as usual with party registration.

Shill.

Politico is garbage. Period.

That goes for every race but toxic white males. And that's a vote they're never getting back.

Let me help you out buddy, posting a website that has a majority Dem bias, with known and documented collusion with the Clinton campaighn, will immediately throw your opinion in the trash. Also, remember that the cross voting percentage is about equal between both parties. With every cuckservative that votes out is a disgruntled white collar worker and berntard that votest in.

Anecdotal here. I live in Michigan with my disabled sister. I'm a registered Democrat. Have been my whole life, so is my sister. We're both voting for the Emperor on Tuesday.

The problem with looking for available sources is that they are not merely deeply biased in favor of Hillary and the Establishment, they flat-out work for them and get paid by them. Even more than that, they are very tribal, both literally and figuratively and would still support Hillary and the Establishment even if they have to watch their entire family be executed in front of them.

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honestly having their family killed would just make them more adamant because they don't love anyone. all social relations merely exist to accessorize their politicized morality.

Good post, I meant them having to watch the Establishment do the worst possible thing to their family would still not sway their loyalty. Crazy death cult behavior.

Remember that poll that said 28% of FL Republicans voted for Hillary? See pic related.

That faggot cuck needs to be hung from a lamp pole.

I'm glad he pushed that poll, though. The only people who watch his show are liberal democrats. Making them complacent by telling them that Trump is losing big is a YUGE win for us.

What's wrong with your sister user?

Detroit's suburbs are actually pleasant.

The White people here are very economically liberal which is why they always vote Democrat but White people are racist as fuck, just ask any old guy around about Detroit before the nigger invasion and they would tell you how beautiful the city was, and how the blacks drove it into the ground.

That's pretty much the plot of Gran Torino.

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saved

She has Multiple Sclerosis. She can still walk some with assistance but she lives at a level 7 pain with pain meds. Her level 10 is passing out with pain dreams. She recently got on Gilenya and that's been working pretty good, she can walk much farther now and need less rest.

If you don't count Flint or Saginaw or Port Huron or Ann Arbor then maybe

Welp, that section got much easier.

how old is she?

He looks like a bald jewier Ted Cruise

The side angle really brings it home.

Also like that jew doctor on House.

A lot like him actually.

Aside from falling apart, even Detroit is better than, say, Chicago. I mean they're still niggers, but our BLM presence is tiny tiny tiny compared to the rest of the US. There's something about Michigan that makes our ethnics behave a little bit better.

Well yeah obviously compared to Chicago, that's the 3rd largest city in the country and Detroit isn't even in the top 25 anymore

At the same time I used to crawl niggertwitter and most Michigan niggers said something along the lines of "Yeah… we know better than to pull this shit."

Combine #SpiritCooking Illuminati death cult shit with the nigger and beaner superstitions and we've got us a landslide, folks.

45. The doctor's tell her that it's a progressive form of MS so it will only get worse with time.

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shit man. i hope a trump victory next tuesday gives her some joy.

If you pay for the wall, you win!
t. le current year man

Great news, I am certain Trump is going to win now, even my mom who can could predict deaths and births of family told me so, Kek has blessed us

That would be amazing we brought some party favors and red glow-sticks to celebrate if he does. Either way, thank you from both of us user

A wall should be built from Bay City to Toledo, everything inside should just starve to death.

I think the Bolshecrats will retain the self-hating white liberal cuck vote, but the younger generations of whites are outnumbered by beaners, niggers and Muslims while also being told that they have privileges that don't exist and that they're all instantly racist no matter what. These kids will become adults who will vote only Republican until (hopefully) a more appropriate, far-right party emerges to combat the Jew-ruled shitskin socialism that they openly threaten us with now.

U.P. is an outdoor fag's paradise.

Michigan fag here. The cold winters keep most of the shitskins and dindus south. Most of us up here in the U.P. live mostly simple lives. Hunting is amazing, and in some areas, you could hike for days, and find no signs of civilization, other than other innawoods fags.

That being said, unless you can deal with upwards of 15ft of snow…

wtf even is a wonk? What does that even mean?

wiggers are not utterly terrified of firearms though. think of micheal j. fox at a fun range.

Jesus Christ

Good job, retard. You just walled off and starved 50% of Michigan's White population.

I have 20 shekels on 80/1 odds for a trump landslide.

Don't let me down Amerifats

t. European user

Random fact of the day, there are completely assembled Sherman tanks just sitting in abandoned factories in Detroit. Tanks require an absurd ratio of operation time to maintenance time, and they're probably in major need of some TLC, but they're there for any Detroit based RWDS to take.

Isn't it great how much we know the leftist will be fucked in the coming civil war?

What constitutes a "landslide": 300+ electoral votes or greater than 5% popular vote?

Oh fuck accidental trip


I know that we need to do it, but I mean come on

Triggered nigger. Clearly that's all nigger country.

Can someone explain this to a non-burger?

It'll be like when Boinie's primary polling showed he lost due to the nigger vote and Reddit libs lost their shit and went off rants about how stupid they are.

Nah.
Here's the former leader of the Jews in Finland

Kek is not fucking around for Tuesday. Now if only Jew York ended up being in play.

i don't care if it kills me, sherman was right, burn atlanta to the ground again

Hillary gets 179 or less

In 2012, pollsters assumed the electorate was split 34/28/38% between Democrats, Republican, and Indepedents. They underestimated Obama's victory by an average of 3% (average poll Obama +1, end result Obama +4). As a result, this year, they weight the polls to be 37/28/35 D/R/I.

That's a bad assumption because Obama's victory was because of blacks being excited to vote for him. Take that away, and a different picture emerges.

Atlanta was a mistake. Too many nogs love your state because of that city.

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Also keep mind that Michigan does not have true party registration. For absentee ballot stats, party ID is determined by which primary you voted in.

Remember that Bernie won the primary here, despite polls saying he was down by 15 points.

It has to be illegal to be this much of a faggot.

I havn't voted in 40 years.

Voted for Trumpenführer last week.

Now we need someone to post the vid of that faggot completely losing it when he has to fire a rifle

who hurt you granpappy

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Get off my lawn faggot.

Outta the way. Super jew coming in.

Do I smell shekels?

Yeaaah, no. You're just like every other pseudo-intellectual who let's other people think for them. You didn't even pull the academia's pseudo-intellectual move of quoting the source and providing 1 sentence of your own distillation of content. Laziness to the core.

Here's what's wrong with (((Politico's))) "Shy voter" study.
Their method is entirely faulty. The silent majority doesn't magically drop the veil of anonymity just because they're not talking to a real live person. This is a group that won't reveal their true voting intentions no matter what method of polling is done and and will always under sample younger demographics who don't use landlines.

They only briefly mention the "Brexit effect", but they provide no reasoning as to why it doesn't apply to President Trump. No polls, either online or by phone correctly predicted the Brexit vote. This is exactly what we will see this Presidential election.

By that logic, we should always tell each other we're losing.
But, it turns out that we're TIED (according to 5%-biased polling, so we're actually winning)!

Here's a REAL reason why the "Shy Voter" effect ACTUALLY EXISTS!
Here's the situation:
Trump-supporting husband and Clinton-supporting wife who haven't told each other who they're voting for. Pollster calls them right after dinner on the landline. Which is likelier, for the husband to lie and say that he's actually voting for an 'acceptable', 'politically correct' candidate like Johnson, Stein, McMullin, or even Clinton, or say he's 'undecided', or for the wife to lie and say she's not voting for Hillary Clinton (NOT a 'politically incorrect' choice).
You already know the answer.

For recent Jews it's either him or Weiner who's Most Chosen. I might choose Henry Kissinger as my Hall of Fame vote.

MiFag as well, happy my faggot ass state does something right other than poison children and have a Muslims Sharia Law towns.

M A G A
A G A M
G A M A
A G A M

This
Niggers came out in droves to vote for the head chimp and after all the hoopla they kinda realize he didn't do fuck all for them.
Reality kinda sets in.
Hell detroit even elected a white man first time in over 30 years the niggers are kind of understanding that the illusion of a majick negro is just that.

Italians =/= jews.

You're still a retard. Or not from here.
Michigan's thumb is filled with White people. More than that, it's where easily 70% of Michigan's white people live:

Huron County - .5% Nigger
Sanliac County - .5% Nigger
St. Clair County - 2.5% Nigger (Thank you, Port Huron…)
Lapeer & Tuscola - 1.2% each

Other than Detroit and its mirror cities like Redford and Inkster, there are only pockets of Niggers here and there. And your retarded plan also neglects the fact that the West side of the State has its own niggerdom. Berrien County, Muskegon County, Kalamazoo, Calhoun… All well over 10% Nigger.

indexmundi.com/facts/united-states/quick-facts/michigan/black-population-percentage#map

indexmundi.com/facts/united-states/quick-facts/michigan/white-population-percentage#map

forgot pic related

this isn't necessarily true. it's no secret that detroit is a zoo, but north of 696 (even 8 mile) their nests become a far more rare occurrence. you should use the racial dot map to be more precise. I don't have saginaw included but it is majority black as well, although bay city has practically no blacks so I don't know where you got your information from. obviously flint is majority black.

I know this isn't a popular opinion but many of the suburban blacks are largely unlike the urban blacks. although anecdotal data is arguably useless, and there is always the theory of growing numbers leading to "natural" behavior, I have met several suburban blacks in the detroit metro area who are pretty cool and speak like normal civilized people. actual weeaboos too which was surprising and off putting, at least for me. I fucking hate weebs.

michigan is fairly interesting in this regard. detroit had a very productive and normal black population before the manufacturing and industrial base left. I'm talking nuclear families and people with purpose, trying to improve their lot in life. take away gainful employment and this is what happens. look back at images of black families in the 50s and 60s, even the 70s. they look like white middle class families besides the color of their skin. then along comes "free trade" and gangster rap.

we have a steadily rising muslim population now. urban blacks and muslims are the main minority populations. they don't really have illegals here either (too cold? idk) so they just don't understand the issues with illegal immigration. out of sight out of mind I guess. but it's fairly interesting coming here from the east coast, as there are far more blacks and muslims but practically no illegals.

I will say, however, that I genuinely believe Donald J Trump will win the state of Michigan in the general election.

what if he's an italian jew?

eyyy, it's justa greek schnozz there, don't pay it no mind mi famiglia :^)

Beaners tend to swarm the Southern states due to proximity and probably the weather as well. The Arabs have had a very small historical footprint in the area and thanks to our insane military adventurism combined with open borders they've rediscovered it.

kek

So, all of Canada?