Prediction Thread

Hello Holla Forums, these are my predictions for the presidential election in November.

I have a very slight Trump win, with 273-265.I think PA will be the tipping point due to turnout this year being depressed on the democrat side.

Other urls found in this thread:

alibertarianfuture.com/2016-election/poll-gary-johnson-26-utah-three-points-overtaking-trump/
axiomstrategies.com/abc/
twitter.com/NSFWRedditImage

...

This is your mind on Holla Forums

Why do you think Nevada and Michigan will go red?

What makes you think Texas won't vote Republican?

Texas has cucked out every step of the way this entire year. Have fun being shocked when they vote Clinton and when California turns red.

Are you a troll? How would California turn red?

I live in California, everyone and the mother is a Trump supporter, even the legal spics.

Interesting. I'm in Florida and everyone around me is Republican. I'm betting on 'ricans and wetbacks to stay home this year.

Are you from a majority republican district?

Polls show that Hilary only has a slight lead in Clark county, while Trump has a huge lead Washoe (Washoe usually swings the state), while Elko and Ely will go red like they always do.

White, blue-collar union state; prime Trump country. Last poll I saw only showed Trump down by 3% there. Trump has plenty of time to drive home his message on trade. Think PA.

Texas isn't blue yet, asshole. Though at this point secession is no longer an option. Too many Cali lefties who moved to Texas to get away from the totalitarian govt they voted for. Too many spics too.

Californians truly are a cancer.

This country is so fucked. This is really our last chance to turn things around.

I'm semi-joking with this. Also dropping some sick oc.

It's gonna be a landslide for sure.

Holy fucking shit, you’re retarded.

I know your post is a joke but still

Most likely result, barring Trump falling over on stage (that scenario is more likely for hillary)

...

I expect Trump to take 8 to all 10 Battleground states

(checked)
Michigan is Trump country (save the Evangelicucks on the west side; thanks for going to Cruz, Ottawa-Kent) so I can see it going red. If not, it'll be a struggle.


They really are.

If Trump somehow magically wins California he WON'T lose. It probably won't happen, but I wouldn't be extremely surprised if it did. I live in California i'm sorry don't kill me and I've only seen ONE Hillary sticker on a car EVER. Everyone seems to despise her with a passion here. Most of the things I see are Bernie Sanders (Stickers, yard posts, tshirts, etc). I've seen several Trump yard posts and one MAGA hat. That being said, everyone despises Trump also, but it's always things like "He's LITERALLY Hitler!" "He'll deport all the Mexican's!" (Mass deportation is unfortunately not in his plan, illegal or legal) "He's a racist sexist homophobic anti-semitic wordist meanist winist istist FUCKING WHITE MALE biggot!!!11!23One!" Keep in mind, I'm from southern California, so I have no idea how things are in northern and central.

In my experience and opinion the only people who don't support Trump are the people who know absolutely nothing about his stances and the only people who support Hillary are the people who know absolutely nothing about her stances.

It is happening guys, i believe in magic.

I dont see Trump wining Utah.

He's unified the GOP at this point and the state, while being leaning republican now, probably wont go blue until the mormons cuck their own qt daughters to spics 100%

alibertarianfuture.com/2016-election/poll-gary-johnson-26-utah-three-points-overtaking-trump/

I dont know really, I hear he has a chance in Michigan and Pennsylvania but can he win Ohio? Kasich won Ohio so are they converting to Trump? Does Trump have a solid chance of Virginia?

This is depressing. Is it really that bad?

NYC has a shit ton of people = all liberals.

(Checked)
PRAISE KEK

Central is similar to what you describe, can't speak for norcal. Maybe 1 pro-hillary thing, everyone else is a Bernout or #NeverTrump in my area.

All of the #NeverTrump people are either A) Incredibly Pro-Life (I have friends in high places within the Pro-Life scene) B) Religious to a fault (Seems like they think they're voting for their new pastor) or C) Mexican Illegals (1 of them is trying to become a legal US Citizen the right way, born in Mexico but brought here when very young).

Anyone that I know that is pro-trump is White, usually middle class. These guys think that Trump isn't the second coming, but he's a million times better than Hillary and the country would be lost if he loses.

Also, fuck moonbeam and his faggot lt.gov. Anti-constitution socialists without shame, need to be publicly tried and hanged for treason.

The sad part is Trump will merely slow the decline.

Things won't be turning around until we do things like forbid gays from adopting, and other measures. We're far away from that.

Where do you live in California?

I've met a few Trump supporters (all white) but most seem to be Bernie cucks.

The big thing is that he has to secure 3 of the following 5 states, more or less:

Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida

Anything less than that requires some really creative electoral maps that the polling doesn't support. Trump is fighting an uphill battle on the electoral map, but it is quite doable and there is plenty of time yet to really shake things up.

Why does everyone keep giving Trump Ohio but not Pennsylvania? I know in recent history that has been the case for winning Republicans. Yet it's always been tight in Ohio, though he has a comfy lead in the bellwether Sandusky county. Yet he has a staggering lead in the bellwether Luzerne county of Pennsylvania, and it has only grown in the last six weeks.

I think he's actually more likely for Penn than Ohio.

Way I see it, he's most likely to win NC, Florida, Penn, Ohio then Virginia, in that order. And I think he can reclaim Nevada and Iowa.

...

I left that shithole state as soon as I was able, it a disarmed socialist police state, fuck california the only thing good that could ever come from california would be the great state of jefferson.

Confirmed. Glorious God Emperor will not be denied.

What do you guys think?
Even 5 pounds gives you 1000 at the end.

I have drove hundreds of miles(bout 400) throughout PA this weekend, and I have seen 0 Hillary signs of ANY kind
but there were COUNTLESS trump signs

Bet 10,000 on clean sweep. Purge their dens of iniquity.

You probably didn't drive through Philadelphia.

Ohio has lost a lot of business to mexico due to nafta. The older folks remember that. Fuck I live in Canada and outside of the cuckzones(Toronto/Ottawa/London) here in Ontario, it's pro-Trump. Why? Because they see him fixing or nuking nafta into the dirt and breaking the $140/mo wages that are fucking us all over in the pact. When my old man was working for GM, he was making nearly $5k/mo with 30 years of service in. New kids? Around $2k/mo and it only bumps up to around $22k after 3 years.

When Canada and the US were trading partners without the BS of Mexico wages went through the roof and the middle class was booming.

lol fuck no phili isnt considered part of PA to the rest of the people who live here

Well it is to the election lol. All the niggers going to vote Clinton.

Are you guys really convinced he'll lose Illinois? There's a republican governor for it now and generally people are sick of the Democrates besides city retards.

Long Islandfag here.

I've been seeing so many Gadsden flags and 3%'er flags and even an occasional black sun popping up. Trump taking New York is not unreasonable by any means.

On November 4, 2014, Rauner was elected Governor of Illinois, though initially without Gov. Quinn's concession.[42] Pat Quinn conceded defeat the next day.[43] Rauner received 50.27% of the vote, while Quinn won 46.35%. He carried every Illinois county except Cook County.

Rauner spent a record $26 million of his own money on his election


Supposedly a lot more blacks in Chicago vote during the Presidential election then vote during midterm years. And they all vote Democrat. But…its possible. I think its possible. I was shocked when I heard Illinois voted Republican for Governor.

All my keks

here's what 538 is saying to me right now

You may have confirmation bias.

Where I live now most of the people I actually know are Trump supporters, but the minute I talk to a random they are full of hate for our god-emperor.

This user gets it. Trump has been getting hammered by ads since two or three weeks before super tuesday nonstop (Trump university and Trump hates women cause he made a joke about bleeding), and i feel the cumulative damage these ads will do in the state is going to tip it to Hillary unless some kebab decides to sperg out in some fashion. I'm hopeful he'll win my state, but not confident. It's so embarrassing to be relying on Michigan, Pennsylvania and Florida to save us.

I guess I should point out I'm from west of Cleveland.

...

Ok,user.
It's time to take your sleepy medicine.

It really should be Trump getting all 50 states. Lets be real here, Hillary is the only leading presidential candidate in history under FBI investigation. What the fuck is wrong with the Democrats.

Who the fuck watches TV these days? Everybody's on twitter, bookface, instagram. I've yet to see one attack ad because I watch so little television. Its good to see Hillary burning up her millions in campaign contributions on spots nobody sees, and the few who do hit the mute button or TIVO it away.

Meh. It doesn't disqualify her. She could be in prison and still be a candidate. Also, Trump is under FBI investigation and he was officially nominated first.

Of course, they both claim they dindu nuffin.

I think Rauner won only 22% of the Chicago/Cook County vote when he was elected governor. If Trump breaks 30% in the city, god-willing 35%, he could take it. The fact he won it in the primary bodes well for Republican solidarity vote.

People called me a kike shill for pic related. Trump winning with 121m - 126m votes. This weekend has just made it more likely.

So funny you should bring that up. Pic related.

I beleive you but

Nullify your votes.

Meme magic is a powerful tool.
Maybe it has to do with Clinton's ads being about Trump.

Screen cap this post.

This year, New York is going
RED

That and Trump is a natural larger-than-life character. He has a gravity to him and such a simple, clear message that people know what he's about and associate his goals with just the mere mention of his name. People think they've seen his ads because they know Donald = MAGA = Presidency. People immediately associate Trump with "that absolute madman is going to be President."

Also, it feels like everyone in the media is obsessed with him. I don't recall Obama being so obsessively covered like this, at the very least not until he won the nomination. The guy is everywhere and it's like nobody, friend or foe, can get him off their mind for very long.

...

What for?

The serial murder of 15.5 people, 14 male, one female, and Rand Paul. All subjects were middle-to-late aged, belonged to the same political party, and most visited cuckold pornography websites. Cause of death: stumping.

This is the best map in the thread.

The real problem factors here are Ohio and Florida.

...

Sacramento here, checking in. . . everybody's a Berniefag or MAGAwhore. The only Hillary supporters in town are the mayor and his overseers.

People not even realizing that Vermont is in play.

I wish m8, but we both know Michigan is chained down by Detroit.

Good god

...

San Jose fag here, more or less the same thing, I've only seen 1 Hillary bumper sticker for every thousand or so Bernie stickers, an occasional MAGA , most are keeping it low though after what's happened at the rally with the illegals, I can surely tell you Trump has a higher chance at taking Santa Clara county than Hillary, Jefferson is also pretty based. I just worry about LA weighing the state down as always

...

filtered

Whoever put the layer work in for this has a cast iron stomach.

just like Chicago is nothing like the rest of Illinois, which is firmly a red state.

But you aren't gonna see IL turn red on the map are you?

Basing this on 2012 actual + Primary Results + current polling.

CO is unknown due to RNC fuckery and it went blue for Obama. WI is a too-close-to-call race. PA was swinging Democrat in the Primary but recent polls look good for Trump. West Virginia could have gone blue if Hillary hadn't said she would put coal out of business.

Trump still wins with or without those swingers.

My question is how many begrudging berniefags are going to trudge down to the voting booths to elect someone they hate? I really couldn't see a lot of pol voting for Jeb!. So maybe it's the same for Hillary? Imagine how downtrodden and defeated they are about Shillary taking the nomination, Maybe they're going so depressed and don't even bother. 130% Republican turnout vs 60% Democratic turnout?

If Bernouts were capable of showing up, they wouldn't be in this situation. They got shown up by niggers.

I seriously expect PA to go red for this election. Unions and workers are pissed off at Hillary.

NM, I don't know. There have been many vocal "build it" voters in NM lately. Anyone from these states able to report in?

Nah. Vermont is cucked beyond belief. It's one of the states where the majority of white males voted for Obama.

The most likely map.

I could call attention a few different things about this but


Even Romney the Morcuck won that.

The best way to do this is to set the Starting View to "2012 Actual" and work from there. Hillary is NOT going to win any of the states that Romney won.

The era of the White male is finally over

America was never great, cumskins.

Good job, Drumpf. You offended all of the Latinos in Florida! The boomers cannot compete! The Latinos in Texas may be cucks to the White supremacist occupiers, but Florida will be your waterloo.

wrong pic

nice software

We have this cool feature on this site. They're called IDs.

Dipshit.

Jew york is more blue than commiefornia

Michigan barely went blue in 2012, and that was pretty much entirely due to wayne county (detroit). Logistically, states that voted bernie/trump in the primary should be the most likely to swing, which was the case here. Absolutely no one likes hillary, and I see people openly say they're going to throw their vote away writing in comrade sanders or just spite vote trump.

If Trump wins the GOP will most likely still control the house and senate right? It doesn't make sense how Trump can win and the GOP not control congress right?

I don't think Trump can get Pennsylvania, it has been blue for too long and democrats actually received more votes in the primary than republicans (republicans received more votes even in states like Wisconsin and Michigan, which are safer blue).

I'm not that sure about Iowa and NH, but I think he can get it, it's more likely to come red than Penn. Maybe he could win that district in Maine, which would give him the presidency if he won all the states in my map.

Virginia stays blue (Hillary's VP pick + he's polling here terribly). I see Colorado swinging before Virginia.

I'm sure Nevada is red this year, Trump has way too much influence here (casinos and shit).

Florida should be his as well (close in 2012, Cubans don't really like Mexicans and it's his second home). Ohio can be easily won as long as Kasich endorses him.

Older people, who are also the majority of voters.

Reminder, polls right now are based on bernouts still not fully accepting hillary is the nominee, and pre debate. Both of those things will likely shift it to our favor.

He can definitely win both. Even Michael Moore thinks Michigan will go red this year.

axiomstrategies.com/abc/

not as much as people think
Detroit has been severely depopulated, it's no longer the political powerhouse it used to be

He can definitely win Penn look at chart here:

Luzern county where Trump is ahead 23%, yeah that's a county Romney only won with barely 5%. So, I think he can take Penn.

Retard.

Also VA just had it's nigger vote decimated. Felons can't vote illegally again anymore.

The Mormons are going to push Johnson (check polling in Utah, he's currently tied with Clinton and Trump), causing no nominee to reach 270, pushing the process to Congress, who will then refuse to choose a candidate, meaning that they will be able to pass a law making Paul Ryan POTUS.

Screencap this post.

Mormons are scum. They are desperate to be seen as moderate because they are self-conscious of how everyone sees them as nutjobs, so they are the biggest cucks around.

Virginia is a lost cause. The people of Northern Virginia more closely resemble the people of North Korea than those of southern Virginia. I don't know why the people of southern Virginia and Western Maryland leave and join West Virginia.

WITNESS

Throwing Shade at Best Korea . . . For ==SHAME== ,user

FUCK