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Trump's real enemy come election time isn't Shillary, it's… the electoral college?! It's about time Holla Forums discusses how truly cucked American politics get.
Let's discuss this. The article does cite alleged problems Trump has with wymyn and filthy non-whites, which may be exaggerated by the journo and/or get better before electoral college time. There are also states such as Florida and NEW YORK that Trump has great chances of winning, and as usual Commiefornia has retarded amounts of sway, though hopefully Trump can possibly win it.
Anyway, purpose of thread is to discuss how Trump will get the 270 he needs in the electoral college. Is it likely? How are our odds? And how cucked can American politics truly be when up against a fucking Clinton?
Trump vs Electoral College
Other urls found in this thread:
occidentaldissent.com
realclearpolitics.com
realclearpolitics.com
realclearpolitics.com
d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
twitter.com
Paint it red, from sea to shining sea!
Utah in play? Nigga please. Sure, some cucks might stay home, but most Utah voters don't even realize there is another party. They might get some people to vote libertarian, but not really.
Women will come around, because Hillary will make the mistake of playing the "muh vagina" and "heesa meanie" cards. I don't think anyone, male or female wants to see a crybaby representing their country.
article disregarded.
they're lying to not show their real fear.
trump vs. any demo on live television would be a massacre to behold with trump verbally destroying any idiot that stands in his way.
trump does well with "smart" white american women and people that can actually vote.
I'm a yuropoor myself so I don't know if this is legit, but how ass backwards it is that in a federation of 50, 20 states are enough to get a president elected?
You get X amount of votes for Y population.
There is no way Trump can lose Florida you know
I don't mind big states having more representation (we have the Senate for equality, fuck if some little shit like Idaho is equal to my Jew York) but the fact that it's winner-take-all in the states is bullshit. It really enforces that 'why vote?' mentality that plagues so many Americans. Had Donald Trump not run this year, we'd likely have seen below 50% voter participation this year. In 2008 it was 57% and in 2012 it was 52% so we'd almost be there.
Yeah, and it's worse when you consider a state like Washington, where essentially one county can decide the electoral votes of the entire state. It's like not even getting to choose, just knowing that your vote will go to Shillary.
Ideally there's supposed to be a hybrid system that respects each states' rights so that smaller states have better representation, but at the same time states with bigger populations also have more representation. It's why our congress has two chambers.
Which is also broken thanks the the Dems.
That's as dumb as saying "how backwards is it that one city like London can control the election for entire country of France. The electoral college was specifically put in place to protect this kind of thing, it's still representative based on population, but every state gets two extra electors because they have two senators each. That means a tiny state like Wyoming with 3 electors, gets a bonus 2 for free to help offset dominance by huge population centers. Those 20 states get a free 40 electors while the other 30 states get a free 60 electors. That's 20 extra electors to help offset huge population centers from dominating politics for the rest of the country.
It doesn't work as well now that states like California have 50+ electors, but back in the 1700's and 1800's when most states had between 4 and 10 electors, it helped small rural states have a say, and it still helped keep urban backed liberals like Al Gore and John Kerry out of the White House just a few years ago (we got a neocohen instead, lel.) It's a better system than just straight popular vote.
lol meant to write Paris not London, America fuck yeah
Trump is obviously going to win majority of the blue states
That's the trouble with the electoral college though- he'll likely win a substantial portion of the votes in the blue states, but those votes will potentially end up being wasted if the majority of the state goes for hillary anyways.
Hillary is going to demoralize everyone while Trump is going to play with her like a cat does a mouse.
Back in my day, newfags lurked more than a few days.
remember the black turnout will be back to pre-2008 levels without king nigger on the ballot
This is an interesting point- in spite of black lives matter, most black people won't give a shit. BLM will likely organize enough to break some shit if Trump gets elected, but black people still won't bother voting.
You still have to worry about the beaner vote though. He'll probably make some of it up by the time the general rolls around, but Hillary has them in the bag.
not necessarily, that is the media narrative but I don't think it is real.
The media has programmed us to believe we are at the mercy of others who decide our fate so we better get with the program or get left behind. This is bullshit.
Trump will be helped by a lower non-white turnout but will win an electoral landslide 1980/1984 style because of *increased* white turnout.
occidentaldissent.com
—-
The Republican share of the White vote in these three Southern states is their lowest share of the White vote anywhere in the South – unless you count Maryland as a Southern state, where Romney only got 56% of the White vote.
Romney lost the 2012 election because Northern White transplants in NOVA/Hampton Roads, the Research Triangle, and the I-4 Corridor in Central Florida are turning Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida into another Maryland. He also lost because he couldn’t get White voters in Pennsylvania and the Midwest to vote like Whites in Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia.
The most important reason Romney lost the 2012 election though is because the Northeastern phalanx delivered all 112 of their electoral votes to Obama within minutes of each other on election night. The “Hispanic vote” is a sideshow compared to the Yankee vote in the Northeast, Upper Midwest, and the West Coast and the enclaves (think Boulder, Asheville, Austin, Missoula, Jackson (WY), Cary, etc.) it has established in the South and West.
I have an idea to look for potential blue states that might swing if enough pressure is applied, look at states that trump won the primary and hillary lost. Target bernouts there to either accept trump as a lesser evil than hillary, or just not vote altogether. I know off the top of my head, Michigan is a state like that.
Additionally, make burner accounts for twatter and plebbit, stoke the flames between the hillary/sanders camps. The left has at least another month of divisive civil war, while the right has a month to coalesce.
Hillary has zero chance in the rust belt states, including Michigan. We are all painfully aware of what NAFTA did to us and who was responsible. You could make a case for going Bernie, but not Hillary. We have too much family fucked over from shit trade deals.
How do you not understand this is a benefit for Trump? The shifting demographics of the country favor Democrats, the geography of the country favors Republicans because all of the nonwhites are crammed into a few states. Therefore, yes Trump's votes in California won't matter, but neither will Hillary's votes in the 30+ states that Trump wins. Republicans win more states than Democrats even when losing the election, so the winner take all helps them more, as there are most states with wasted Democrat votes. Especially in swing states like Ohio and Pennsylvania. There's a reason Bush won while losing the popular vote whereas Democrats win the popular vote effortlessly when they win.
And what if New York and New Jersey swing right?
4 MORE YEARS OF PRESIDENT PUSSY!
Who's with me? Lets meme Obama into the emperor we all know he can be!
The problem is that it gives such power to urbanites, who tend to be liberals. The founders never imagined the population density that would be achieved in the future urban centers. And then agricultural technology also thinning out the rural areas because fewer people are needed to run large farms.
That's a good point.
No, the real problem is women.
Women were never supposed to be able to vote. They're the reason the country has become so cucked since the 1960s. Women enjoy cucking, and they vote for it whenever they can.
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Yes, but the problem is that the head of state is selected by wherever the most people live. USA is supposed to be a union of many states, not one big state. So having a system like this is ass backwards. If EUSSR had a president, I'd hate to have no fucking say in who it is.
Then again, EUSSR government - European Commission - isn't actually elected at all, so I guess burgers still have us beat.
Clinton winning MI with her statements all around.
k
Also note; the FBI has 2 months to file charges. It's like 1 week shy of 4 months until the DNC.
Coincidence? Doubtful. The FBI WANT Hillary to win, rioting to happen, then in that final week they'll file charges.
Thus causing Sanders supporters to burn his chances and Hillary burning her own chances.
Cali really needs to be split, it's just not right that that shit-hole gets to be so damn significant.
Fixed.
...
k
Uh huh.
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Trump needs to run the campaign of the century to uncuck this stacked deck of white self hating faggots, woman, and spics. Not to mention niggers.
He needs the best messaging and to drop the type of mistakes that were made before Wisconsin.
I actually cannot face a Trump loss, the world can't.
k
Why do rightwingers complain about the electoral college when it tends to benefit Republicans?
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It's more likely that he goes and brings a lot of the Clinton crimes into light in an loud and bright fashion. Nothing he has done could possibly measure against the crimes of the Clintons.
Would you say that a Trump loss would trigger you to the point of suicide?
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Because like leftwingers, they're hypocrites. When the system works in their favor, there is nothing wrong with the system.
When the system doesn't work in their favor, the system is broken beyond repair and needs replacing with a system that allows them to win 100% of the time.
Neocons, you mean.
No, I wouldn't, I have a good life, but it would be my last fuck given any ideals for humanity.
So if Trump loses, you wouldn't fight to secure the existence of the White race anymore (if you did so in the first place, that is)?
Crypsis defeatism thread. Shills are evolving.
Daily reminder: if Romney had gotten 4% more of the white vote, he would have been president. Also note that even if he got 77% of the Hispanic vote (why is this a thing), he still would have lost. Takeaway: blacks and browns don't vote, really.
TRUMP is going to win by forging a massive white voter turnout by appealing to issues that effect nearly every white person in the country. He's going to verbally beat Hillary into submission and walk away with huge white margins. He'll also carry more of the black vote than expected (majority will still to Shillary).
Final reminder: if only whites of both genders (there are only two, shitlibs) voted, conservatives would have won pretty much every election this century. Minorities and their (((handlers))) are the enemy.
TRUMP is a black swan event, lads. Nobody could imagine what's happened so far. Nobody can imagine what is to come. The electoral college won't be stopping this Train.
Daily reminder TRUMP was crowned not by the electoral cucks but by God as his power is divine.
I'm not sure where I heard this, but there was a study done that basically amounted to "if Trump can get 3-4% more of the black vote than typical republicans, he will win". Keep in mind that he currently has 10-12% support and Romney got 5%.
You're trying really hard. People DO side with their livelihood above party, policy, or person.
So cool. You're an irrelevant shill. Filtered.
>realclearpolitics.com
And what is this link supposed to show?
Reminder that women who work in the office by large favor male bosses over female bosses.
Well, that's what every political party wants, but few actually put it into practice.
Women inherently know that they are terrible leaders.
That according to the polling data, Trump is more unfavorable than even Clinton.
realclearpolitics.com
As far as I know, that is just general, overall unfavorable numbers.
Not specifically women, spics, niggers etc. I don't believe RCP shows unfavorable numbers according to one single demographic.
Of course not. They can take advantage of a corrupt and broken system easier than a fair and straightforward system.
Take a look at the 2012 results. Colorado and Pennsylvania actually have the best chance of flipping besides the assumed ones (FL, OH, VA).
Haven't even clicked the links, probably not going to. I saw the title include favorable / unfavorable and I have this to say;
UNFAVORABILITY IS A MADE UP STAT.
Notice how Trump's unfavorability [would never vote for] is like 63%, yet he has consistently received 55% - 65% of the popular vote. So odes 18% - 28% of the population have an unfavorable [would never vote for] view of Trump but ended up voting for him?
see;
No, I would give up on democratic means completely, and relieve myself of my white mans burden.
Only because they show Trump behind, of course.
If they showed Trump ahead, you'd have no problem with the polls I'm sure.
or you do dismiss every single poll (even the ones that have Trump winning) on principle?
Because the favorable polls poll everyone.
Only trump supporters vote Trump.
You're comparing two different demographics. You're comparing a general belief poll about Trump to the people who voted for Trump in their primary.
Ahh. So you'd be where I am currently. Got it.
That's a good thing, actually. Because then we can actually start doing something that will save the White race instead of voting.
Shill? How am I a shill for acknowledging that most people are borderline retarded and vote for names and not people or policies?
This. Why do you think he started talking about Rafael Cruz's possible involvement in the JFK assassination so suddenly? He knew he was going to win the state, he knew Cruz's campaign was running on fumes, he knew Cruz was going to throw in the towel. It was a threat to Hillary who certainly has far worse things in her past than her dad being a spook.
No. They're made up for everyone.
They make absolutely no sense. It wouldn't matter if that's my reason for focusing on them. I've shown you the math that proves they make no sense.
Nah, anti-trump voters who didn't fucking vote. Ours is the side of high energy so we did right by the God-Emperor while they sat around and blogged about how OMG I CANT EVEN
That makes no sense.
Polling is broken down by party. It's always "unfavorability of GOP voters" and "unfavorability of DEM voters".
No shit. That's implied by the label "Trump supporter".
This is my 2016 prediction: Trump wins every state Romney won in 2012, but adds Florida, Virginia, Ohio and Iowa, giving him 272 electrical votes.
I say this because all four of those states were only won by Obama by less than 2% of the popular vote (ie 52-48), meaning they could flip to red very easily in 2016.
capped
Also you're kind of showing yourself as an uneducated shill here. Yes only Trump supporters vote Trump. HOWEVER anti-Trump people vote for Cruz, Kasich etc.
As has been show with exit polls in states of;
vs
Then lined up with "Who".
Hillary nom and Trump wins PA.
Not to mention Obama was black jesus and Clinton does not generate that same interest. Not to mention Republican voting this election is at record highs.
This is going to be a sweep boys.
JEJ
E
J
Also this;
8,267,902 non Cruz / Trump
10,700,346 Trump = 0.5940 = 59.4%
7,312,968 Cruz = 0.4059 = 40.59%
18,013,314 total
8,267,902 - split
Trump = 4,911,334
Cruz = 3,356,567
Totals;
Trump = 15611680
Cruz = 10669535
If I wrote it terribly, this;
If the race for the GOP candidate was just Trump and Cruz and their proportions hold Trump would have 15,611,680, and Cruz would have 10,669,535 votes right now.
When a GOP nom gets more primary votes by these margins than a DEM nom [15.6m Trump v 12.5m Clinton] the GOP candidate wins.
…Because you say so.
That's on you. It's not the polls fault that you can't understand it.
As I've already explained, your math is bullshit because you're trying to compare two things that are not meant to be compared.
The favorable polls are polling everyone on their opinion.
The percentage of votes are what percentage of votes in primary elections that went to a specific candidate.
It doesn't make sense to you because they're not intended to be compared.
See above.
As far as I know, the unfavorable polls are not done by party.
According to the most recent favorability poll, it was general and not alone party lines.
d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net
Yes so comparing people who voted Trump to a general opinion poll won't give you accurate representation.
Oh of course…because I automatically don't agree with everything Trump supporters say I'm automatically a shill.
Why don't you just call me a racist? It's the same tactics that the leftists use.
He'll take Michigan too, and possibly Nevada (mormon cucks will not sit this out).
My Shillary's million $ must be running dry. I hope she's not paying you a lot. Filtered, by.
And I doubt highly that 100% of Cruz cucks are true #NeverTrumpers. Once Hillary looms large over the ballot box these cucks will be voting Trump
Every cruzer is pro 2nd amendment. Hillary has already (today even) said she will drastically increase gun control. The cruzlimes will vote for Trump on that single issue alone.
They aren't. They're virtue signaling.
Like the retard said earlier in the thread about how people don't vote out of party. Well if that's true it's true on the GOP side too and with this years numbers that will demolish Hillary.
if trump cant win now, than any republican cant win in 2020 anyways
You're right. It will be a straight ANS party winning.
[American National Socialists]
Trump will take Colorado and Pennsylvania.
Why is the DEM bar shifted right? It makes no sense and doesn't let me compare the two.
I agree with PA. CO I don't know enough about, but after the CO primary shens I could see it.
It's really that women are biologically inclined to seek and follow alpha males. Trump projects dominance while Hillary is a bitter shrew. Looking back at the elections of 2008 and 2012, women had Cuckservatives like Romney one hand with the likes of Hillary and Obama (just look at his with wife) on the other. Trump isn't pushing polices that could spinned as out to get women (hell, pushing deportation stronger border could be spinned as protecting American women from sex criminals)
I noticed a lot of Black guys on Twitter supporting Trump. I suspect Trump's support among Blacks links to how he can get framed as a dominant, rich, East Coast, mobster type.
Both CO and PA went Blue in 2012 by nearly the same margin (~5%). Given that and the CO cucking of the delegates I see a Trump victory.
Every presidential election in the last 30+ years has been a "vote against" affair. It's not that people wanted 4 more years of Obongo so much as nobody wanted Romney.
Primary votes for Clinton are significantly padded by anti-Sanders votes. Nearly all Cruz's votes were really anti-Trump votes.
The big difference is that people voting for Trump genuinely want Trump. Likewise Sanders, but fuck that commie.
As the LITERALLY HITLER narrative against Trump falls apart so will most of Clinton's "support" evaporate. Trump will get nearly all of the independent vote along with the republicans, while many democrats wont even bother coming out to vote.
That's a big "if", considering that Trump's following has already demonstrably crossed the typical party lines.
I just want to see a Trump v Hillary debate.
It had basically become a sad reality that everyone knew both candidates were terrible but had to choose the lesser of two evils. This is the first time that we can choose a good candidate.
Also parties tend to switch after 8 years straight. Has a party ever won 3 times in a row?
I second this post.
They've been beating the unfavorability horse for months. Heard some of the BBC World Service dummies bleating about that just this morning.
Bush I was the last time that happened. We would have had 4 in a row if it wasn't for him going back on "read my lips" and Ross Perot
Found this one funny.
Don't forget about
RECORD VOTER TURNOUT
…because this is going to change the game.
It's not christian to win. It is better to lose and gain favor in heaven or something. I mean god never helps those who help themselves, only people who lay down and wish for good things to happen.
Anybody got that meme where the girl is cheating on her boyfriend, the one where they show them from behind and while her boyfriends arm is around her, she's holding another mans hand behind his back????
This. Additionally note RINOs. They're democrats. They're signaling as republicans this election for the simple reason of splitting the base. There are so incredibly few #neverTrump voters, they just make the most noise. Always remember that, they make the most noise.
Why?
This. Trump is beating Hillary in popular vote for primaries if you adjust for a 2 man GOP race of Cruz and Trump.
Funny you'd say that, he mocked them along those lines right after the first tweet.
Don't forget the lower primary turnout for Democrats.
I've read his tweets before. I'm sure he's one of those #NYS GamerGaters who got doxxed and ended up losing his job.
Pretty much.
HIGH ENERGY RECORD TURNOUT
NeverTrump are just butthurt right now that their good goy candidates lost. They'll come around when the reality of Hillary Clinton becoming president sinks in.
He's actually one of the two guys that started #NYS. Say what you want about gamergate but it still redpilled a lot of former liberals at least to the point that they're now Trump supporters anyways.
implying the cuckservatives wouldn't rather get pegged by shillary than accept Trump
Fortunately, the kike media can't pass up the opportunity to blast Trumps message out 24/7 for rating-shekels, so normal people actually get to hear what he says.
They will when Hillary pushes her stance on gun control.
Remember that Neocons are another branxg of progressive. Seriously, you'd be surprised how many of them in both office and outside of it had backgrounds of being Leftoids. Just look at Christopher Hitchens.
This is what I've been saying. At first I was confused why Trump dropped Roger Stone. Now it makes sense. Stone has for the last decade dug up all the dirt on the entire Clinton name that he needs to be removed from the Trump campaign so Trump takes none of the backlash.
I'm calling it now that Stone sprinkles tidbits of the Clinton's dirty laundry throughout the general season.
Did you have a stroke?
You kind of highlight the problem here. Romney was the forced-meme RNC pick. Nobody really wanted to vote for him. But people actually and actively want to vote for Trump. However, the RNC would rather have Hillary than Trump… (and they would rather have had Obama than Ron Paul).
Just goes to show both parties are two sides of the same coin.
This. I've been seen more frequent NRA commercials pop up when I have the electric jew on.
When Hillary's stance on guns gets known expect the NRA #s to skyrocket.
He did. RIP [a39635]~
NeoCons were disenfranchised leftists from the 60s who were warmongers that got btfo by woodstock hippies. They invaded the sleepy conservative party and took it over.
Romney won a ridiculous amount of the white vote all things considered.
Of the whites who showed up. Most did not.
….
No, no he didn't. See;
If there are 1,000 white people and 100 show up to vote and you get 70 votes you didn't receive a lot of the white vote.
Romney was a spineless Mormon cuck that literally gave up though, so most whites realized he was garbage.
Trump isn't a defeated cuck. He's a fighter!
Sometimes I wonder if so many news companies now regret ever letting Trump have all that screen time every day.
Could you imagine the endless SALT that we could enjoy forever if one of the first things Trump does is establish new laws and orders to fix news reporting and finally clean news sites up whilst also making tabloids and clickb8 sites ded soon enough in the process?
Just imagine it, a new world where news channels are all about actual news and truth, and only occasional entertainment once in a great while.
…
You were close, but derailed after that. I can imagine the law now… this is all it needs to say.
Instantly the bullshit is gone, the panels of group-think manipulators are gone. Tabloid bullshit relegated to the internet so it can't passively pour into the minds of people.
At least the laws could pass without unlike obongo vetoing anything useful.
He doesn't realize that we are no longer a nation of laws… and that we elect monarchs.
All I want from Trump is two walls, all illegal spics gone, all anchor babies gone, and repeal 1965 immigration act. The goal is to stop non-Hispanic whites falling below 50% of the population, and restoring a non-Hispanic white majority to all 50 states. Nothing else matters at this point.
I agree but that isn't enough.
The cultural cancers spreading through this country can't be stopped with concrete and steel. Our crisis is fundamentally a spiritual one, and I'm not talking about a religious / christian answer. The spiritual healing of European Americans can be enabled by repealing legislation designed to crush it, like the 1965 immigration act… but ultimately only a nationalist awakening and revaluation of our people will stop what has begun.
We are on the right track though, I feel.
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You're underestimating the powers that the fedgov have over media companies. Do you really think Obama isn't behind all the social engineering involved with this interracial cuck shit? Trump is going to end that shit forthwith and start social engineering the positive portrayal of healthy, nuclear non-IR families.
Its like they're torn apart on supporting him. Do they want more shekels or do they want to shill against Trump?
You do realize the Republicans have the House right? Republicans dominate the big state slanted house of representatives.
Obama is a retarded commie half-nigger, he's no more responsible for this than he was "Obamacare" (which was written and lobbied by interest groups that would have happily renamed the legislation "Hillarycare" without losing a step). Jewish handlers are pulling those strings… as they always are. The cuck shit has been internationalized at full blast, and Obama isn't the kingpin behind it globally.
Trump does present us with opportunities to stop it though, through national pride, promoting the health and strength of our own nation first and foremost, and rejecting globalism.
Trump will easily win Michigan and Wisconsin if nothing changes. Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Illinois, Florida, Rhode Island, and Vermont are in play too.
Trump basically has all of Romney's states as a baseline (Utah is argable, but leaning strongly red), plus appeal to moderates, anti-establishment independents, the white working class, Palin rednecks, Tea Partyers, disaffected bernouts, and young anti-SJWs.
Here are my predictions.
Somewhat-accurate enough?
Add in ME, CT, NJ, PA, and VA.
The way the EUSSR commission works you're not actually that wrong.
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NJ will get a lot of Trump votes, but will be blue in the general. Too many shitskins and cucks here for it to ever be red. PA is the only state you have there that I see with the potential to go red in November.
You're a retard.
You saying that women don't vote for Alphas?
I don't suppose a psychological assessment of each blue states average population would be useful, would it?
This is my rather optimistic prediction, though it could go even more red depending on how terrible Hillary does from now through October.
If there's any major terror attack or chimpout between now and election day, I could see a lot, lot more red on that map.
But right for women to vote was passed by urban liberal men. Checkmate.
This map is simply based on the number of GOP voters versus dem voters in the primaries. Red states are where there were more GOP voters than dem and vice versa.
I have my doubts, but this is close as shit.
No telling how many berniefags are gonna migrate to Hillary.
lol same story different country
Ukip get 1 mp despite getting 1/3 the votes of a party who got 316
National front won 6 regions until everyone else rallied against them, they end with none.
Trump will win a majority of votes but lose the election due to this shit.
We live in a world designed to stop this kind of things happen. I really hope he wins but theres a big chance he gets jewed.
No worries. Trump is already busy subverting Hillary's female support. Without it, she has no hope of winning.
892,702 +
340,201 +
304,793 +
035,642
= 1,573,338
892,702 +
340,201 =
1,232,903
892,702 / 1,232,903 = 72.4%
340,201 / 1,232,903 = 27.6%
1,573,338 * .724 = 1,139,096
1,573,338 * .276 = 434,241
Adjusting the numbers to proportional totals, Trump gets 1,139,096 votes. That's 220,407 more than Hillary.
Also here is the entire Primary season so far where both parties have shared states;
Hillary has 12,553,043 votes. Trump would be on his way to get close to or break 20 million primary votes if it were only Trump and Cruz the entire primary season.
>where both parties have shared states;
Cancel that. Those numbers are the entire primary season so far. Not ONLY shared states.
Is California even a possibility for going red?
The entire map is. Although CA which allows illegals to vote and whichever east coast states that allows felons to vote are unlikely.
I made you something Holla Forums.
My autism kicked in.
Projected vote totals for 2016 primary race
*Adjusted for a two man Trump v Cruz race
*Assuming Cruz had stayed in until the end
Trump current votes = 10,713,526
Cruz current votes = 7,321,878
In a two man race of just Trump and Cruz for this point the percentage of the vote [10,713,526 + 7,321,878] each would have is;
Trump [10,713,526 / 18,035,404] = 0.5940 = 59.40%
Cruz [7,321,878 / 18,035,404] = 0.4059 = 40.59%
Projected total votes with vote increases [assuming Cruz stayed in the race];
Trump [31,870,288 * .5940] = 18,930,951
Cruz [31,870,288 * .4059] = 12,936,149
Tech sector jobs?
Silicon Valley, etc…?
What are you, some kinda fag?
Improving Education?
What does California care about…. Hmmmm….
So is that a no? Despite it being in their best interest to support his immigration policies, tech folks are disgustingly liberal.
user plz leave leave that for the_donald
FL, OH, VA, CO, PA, NH, NV, MI are all going to Trump this year. I guarantee it.
IA is up in the air with ME.
Until their job gets outsourced.
If Sanders goes third party I would expect some of these states to go to Sanders. Namely Washington, Oregon and Vermont.
That would be a deathknell to Shrillary. We need to meme a 3rd party Bernie run,
Finally someone giving PA to Trump as it should be due to Hillary's statements 2 days ago.
I had the same idea to combine 2012 General with 2016 Primaries (so far).
It looks like you forgot North Carolina.
I split it into worse and best case scenarios because:
Wisconsin is VERY CLOSE to flipping red. ~3000 votes.
Pennsylvania close to flipping red. ~9000 votes.
New Jersey possible flip because of Chris Christie?
New York less likely to flip but Trump has the best chance in decades.
That is also a factor.
Fuck, that should be worst* case.
only half the population vote
Also I bet by November Hillary will have a higher unfavorabillity than Trump
(checked)
The geographic composition of California's Sierra Nevada mountain range is, fascinating.
I could Imagine Vermont and Cali going Trump if Bernie Runs Independant
Getting a Trump 35% Bernie 34% Clinton 31% thing going on
4% more of the white vote, and Romney would have won. Trump has this, surely.
He won't (for the good of the party/m'lady)
So let's think about something a little more sobering for a moment here. What are the actual chances of some fanatical lib making himself into a martyr and trying to off Trump?
I remember back during Obama's initial run there was a lot of half-joking about him getting shot, due to him being black, and I sort of believed it might happen because it was before I realized that the left MASSIVELY overstates the KKK's power and influence.
But with Trump we have people openly, brazenly stating they're going to kill him, and nothing being done about it. We had that pothead who tried to rush the stage portrayed as a fucking dindu on news outlets. It's emboldening these people, making them think they're acting for the greater good.
I'm really worried.
That's always been my prediction too
Not gonna happen.
1/3 of their population are illegals and they're all registered democrat. It's so disgusting.
I think it is highly possible, because I believe after what happened with Cruz it is the only way to stop the Donald. He will destroy the Hillary and the Clinton family on stage otherwise. I am actually seriously scared for Trump.
Leftists are short term, emotional thinkers. What we will get is a lot of retards bumrushing or waving handguns, with the result being a lot of dead leftists.
Out of PA, MI, NJ, and FL, Trump will win at least 2 out of those 4 in a general.
I don't think he has a shot of winning New York based on primary numbers (and common sense). But he will certainly make Hillary waste a lot of time, money, and energy to secure it, which will boost him in actual Purple states.
I'm glad the most spics/nigs/minorities are contained in states that were bound to go blue anyway.
It's the woman vote that terrifies me. They eat up the 'Trump is the Hitler of sexism' rhetoric like crazy.
*that most
We already had one barricade jumper, so we are past the realm of theoreticals.
That would be reasonable and amazing
You're probably right, but hasn't he run as an Independent for Senate for the past long while?
One thing the "muh womens vote" faggots don't realize is that women hate other women.