TRUMP IS BEATING HILLARY IN AN OREGON GENERAL ELECTION POLL

TRUMP IS BEATING HILLARY IN AN OREGON GENERAL ELECTION POLL

Oregon General Election Voters Give Edge to Trump over Hillary; Support for Billion-Dollar Tax Hike Weak

Our most recent survey of Oregon voters statewide showed that, in a prospective General Election match-up between presumptive Republican Party nominee Donald Trump and likely Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton, Trump leads by a small margin, 44% to 42%, with 13% yet undecided.

The Trump lead is statistically insignificant, but shows the Oregon electorate is deeply split about the direction in which the country should move. Both candidates have solidified much of their own political bases, winning about four of every five partisans, but Trump has a massive lead among Oregon independent voters, winning 53% support compared to just 26% support among independents for Clinton. Another 21% of independents said they are yet undecided.

The Trump lead among independent voters is likely a result of a combination of his early attacks on Clinton, the strong primary election opposition of Bernie Sanders, who easily won the Democratic Presidential Primary election Tuesday, and her generally lackluster campaign effort in Oregon.

A contributing factor to her poor performance in the Clout poll is her under-performance among women, where she leads Trump by only 9%, far below her national performance among women. Among men, Trump leads Clinton by 13%.

Billion Dollar Tax Measure in Trouble

The same survey shows statewide support for a multi-billion dollar tax increase is tepid, falling several points below the key threshold of 50% support. The ballot measure, known as IP28, wins 44% support against 32% opposition, with about a quarter of the electorate unsure on the measure. Oregon’s general elections are heavily influenced by independent, or non-aligned voters, and they are leaning strongly against the tax hike. While 32% of independents support the tax measure, 45% oppose it.

This sentiment bodes ill for the success of the measure, especially considering that more Oregon voters than not feel the state is headed in the wrong direction. While 41% of those voters surveyed said they believe the state is headed in the right direction, 49% said it is off on the wrong track. It is our experience that when voters do not trust their state government to perform properly – a serious question hanging over the heads of Oregon government leaders in the wake of the corruption-related resignation of Gov. John Kitzhaber just over a year ago – they are less inclined to grant it major new sources of tax money no matter the intention of the tax revenue. The full campaign has yet to unfold, but given this measure is supported mainly by Democratic voters, and the top of the Democratic ticket this fall will be far less inspiring than Barack Obama of the last two presidential election cycles, this measure appears in serious trouble.

The telephone survey included a sample of 423 landline respondents and 234 respondents in cell phone-only households.

archive.is/D28RO

Berniebros are fucking panicking over this poll. Hillary is doomed if she can't even keep Oregon blue.

Other urls found in this thread:

270towin.com/states/Oregon
youtube.com/watch?v=6ePbitKMMmo
fivethirtyeight.com/features/in-search-of-americas-best-burrito/
twitter.com/SFWRedditVideos

Is this for real? Is it really happening fam?

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I keep tabs on a couple leftist forums, there's a growing concern about Hillary across the board. I mean some of those leftists are delusional to the point they can't "imagine" Trump winning so therefore it won't happen, but others are shitting bricks.

Trump's going to absolutely destroy Hillary, it's obvious as fuck to anyone. I mean Hillary is the most establishment candidate on Earth and this is an anti-establishment election. Leftists are complete and total slaves to their Democrat masters.

Sounds an awful lot like RWDS

If this poll is at all accurate Hillary is so fucked that the democrats would have to be retards to keep her as the nominee. Here's 270towin's estimate for Oregon originally.

270towin.com/states/Oregon

CAN'T STUMP THE TRUMP

B-but the polls show Boynie can beat D-Drumpf! But really, I'm not awake enough to see how the Bernouts are panicking.

No need for right-wing death squads**, when it's a full-scale race war.

They've got no one else, and if they fuck with the "delegates", even the Dems won't be able to swallow it unless Hill gets indicted before the DNC.


I love how they're now clutching on to Trump "chickening out" of a debate that was never actually proposed as a sign that Boynie will beat Shillary.

well supposedly this is the entire purpose of superdelegates, to prevent someone completely unelectable from winning the nomination. Though I don't think they'd actually go against her, Hillary would go full Samson option and start tearing everyone's skeletons out of the closet to bring them down with her.

B-b-but she's a woman!!! Womyn can't be establishment!

It amuses the fuck out of me that Hillary continues to pursue the bonkers marketing ploy of calling herself an outsider. Hilldog has done more to end sexism in politics than anyone else, because she's proven that you don't need a dick to be a good ol' boy.

For some reason I read that as "tearing everyone's skeletons out of their bodies" and imagine her savagely slaughtering her staffers.

Well, that's just for her blood sacrifice

Feminists just hate us because they ain't us. No matter what bullshit "equality" they push for, a man can always smash a womyn in her face and throw her around like a rag doll. Deep down all women know they are inferior to men and it eats them up.

I just about busted a gut laughing when she said that in a debate. Even the most brain dead liberal has to realize that's complete bullshit.

did someone say

RIGHT WING DEATH SQUADS

What do you think are the chances for a surprise fourth candidate to come out in the last minute, probably an establishment guy in disguise, that claims the other three are all crazy and you should vote for him? This is probably their best bet to stop Trump other than killing him.

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Men are going to save this election.

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h'what?

I think there will be another candidate though. Hillary is deep in a pile of shit, and I think the dems are just deciding when to throw her ass under the bus and get someone new.

Mind you, her support is highest among non-white females. That means that Trump has a lead among White women despite all the muh sojiny accusations, the God Emperor´s charisma has only begun to break the chains of "feminist" cultural-trotskist indoctrination… The beast is bleeding and soon to be slain…

Thought I don´t think that is going to win the election, Hillary will steal the coming elections with electoral fraud just like she stole the nomination from Bernie the Sandcuck.

Worry not and despair not, Trump will likely outright call out the fraud and we must have his back when that happen, it will only be the beginning of the great struggle. We will fight and they will win.

youtube.com/watch?v=6ePbitKMMmo

PDXfag here, a lot of my friends are Bernie supporters and they really, really dislike Hillary, to the point that they're either gonna vote Trump or not vote at all.

The thing is that these polls get schewed because of them. There were all these people that were never ever ever going to vote for Trump because he couldn't beat Hillary. As soon as he became the nominee, most bent the knee, the support inside the party is something around 90%. Expect something similar with Hillary, Berniebros are the kings of being cucks and most will vote for her. Not because of a love of Hillary, but because "Trump will make marginalized people scared he's megaHitler" and shit.

Don't get me wrong I don't mean to say we should panic. The first debate hasn't happened and my expectations there are in the clouds.

ORbro here. Doth the DOTR approacheth?

The womyn card is going to be maxed out after that one, a death blow.

Seriously, isn´t there a risk they panic and turn on Hillary?

CANNOT BE STUMPED

oh man, if she can't even keep oregon blue…

my fucking sides

This was discussed in the Ann Coulter thread yesterday, and some of what she predicted has already been confirmed.

Seem like Hillary is used to getting cucked , not just by Bill haha . Everyone thought she was going to win in 2008 but then Obama , a literal who that come out of nowhere shows up and he killary'd her .

Absolutely. The DOJ will indict her only if it looks like she's going to tank. I think the first debate will decide her fate.

Yeah, right after Obama turned down Federal funds and turned to Jewstreet for financial backing.

i know a couple people who claim to be lifelong liberals that will vote trump instead of shillary. one is an old boomer who took time off and did volunteer work for both obongo's campaign in '08 and sanders' campaign when our state was up for primary voting. she's voting trump if sanders doesn't make it. shit's unreal

It won't matter. Like hell they'd pick Bernie, so they'll just draft someone like Biden who didn't even run and the convention will be an even greater chimpout than the 1968 one, when Humphrey at least acquired delegates through cuckuses.

Agreed. Once the Dems choose to drop Hillary it will completely wreck the party from the inside, and leave the voters as free agents.

It will be interesting to see what happens. Maybe the Dems will stick with Hillary all the way, maybe a whole new party will be formed. 2016 could be quite the year.

These polls aren't taking into consideration the new slave class bused in from Mexico just in time for this election. Make no mistake, the Democrats have full faith in Hillary.

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Full faith might be exaggerating a bit. The bitch is nearing an actual indictment because the state department has come out and said that she was at fault. That has got to rattle some of her supporters, and not in a good way.

for storing a private email server in her house while she was Secretary of the State.

Just clearing that up

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That men vote stat doesn't add up correctly.

saved

Here, have another

cheers!

Don't forget Eugene and Ashland

As an Oregonian, I'm proud.
I figured this place for a liberal shithole that would never change to red.
If there's even the possibility of it, maybe I don't have to be so worried about wearing a maga hat in public and getting hit by a liberal lynch squad.

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I'll never get over this. There's a widespread disease where people are unaffected by logic and just repeat buzz words until the other person gives up.

Watching CNN lose their fucking minds over "popularity" polls makes me so fucking comfy. They can't explain his mass appeal or how he can hold rallies of 30,000+ people of all races and ages while screaming "BUT LOOK AT THE NUMBERS; HE'S HATED!!!!!"

Watching them try to carry the narrative and failing so hard makes me erect.

I just can't wait until his inevitable victory.

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LANDSLIDE
A
N
D
S
L
I
D
E

What's the picture supposed to be pointing out?

An added bonus to a Trump victory is that NAte's career will be over. Nobody will take him seriously ever again.

Wait. Nate Silver? I keep hearing about how great he is from my lib family members.

Is he really this fucking salty and pathetic?

He's a kike what did you expect?

A faggot, aslo

nate is ass ravaged and its pure gold

i still love how much asspain a picture of a man smiling and eating lunch caused

Someone plz answer

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The shadow kinda looks like a rare merchant

Damn, Trump must really hate Mexicans. Even his food has a wall.

kek

Winner.

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Jesus christ.

From what I've been told his word may as well be from the mouth of god.

Well, both Mark (((Cuban))) and fucking (((Bloomberg))) have been discussed as options.

he's a complete hack

the only thing he's good for is making top ten burrito rankings
fivethirtyeight.com/features/in-search-of-americas-best-burrito/

also he's kind of a meme in the sports community, since he wrote an article insisting the national hockey league expands to create a team in the booming Sudbury/Thunder Bay market in Canada…..towns that are 11 hours apart

he got massively butthurt and deleted it, while lashing out at critics

God, why is she so fucking weird? Weird sounding and weird looking. I feel a little sorry for bill.

Actually fuck no, no sympathy for the fucking nafta creator.

She's going to lose the male vote by at least 30 points.

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This was awesome, would've been a little better with some facts thrown in about how she's a lying piece of shit though. This is a meme that could've gone full propaganda.

The fact that the MSM never mentions Hillary's much bigger and growing gap with male voters is very telling.

Every time I see that clip about Qaddafi I feel nothing but rage.

Portland itself isn't as blue as (((the media))) would have you believe.

Many who at one point naively liked socialism have realised it was missing a little nationalism. A big breaking point was the rape of Cologne. One couldn't help but notice all the people who didn't care had funny looking noses and hammer and sickle patches. It will not be hard to tell the Deutschers from the cucks.

14/88

The poll is a little too small to be taken as gospel for how Oregon will go, yet it is true that Trump is currently crushing it a lot harder than polls would lead you to believe.

He's had a huge lead among registered independent voters for many months, which are the biggest chunk of the electorate. Many polls seriously underrepresent or ignore registered independents.

Really?

are you fucking kidding me

Yes it is. My brother lives there because of work, he tells me all sorts of shit

Electronic timer trips say it's the hour of Trump.


Who was it who predicted with 97% accuracy that Trump would win at the beginning of the primary?

Portents, portents everywhere.

All it takes is for the superdelegates to flip for Bernie. Which is the whole point of them.

lol its not going to happen

Yeah probably not. For all the pundit talking about how party plans to screw X person out of a nominee, non of it will actually happen since it will just turn people off.

I don't know whether to praise Kek or fear him

FTFY

GOOD LUCK GOD EMPEROR TRUMP

No shit he is. Oregon's a red state. Except for Eugene and Portland, which are both hellholes and gathering areas for the Cali refugees. Don't listen to fags who perpetuate le oregon is a blu state xdd

Also- When RWDS come please take mercy on my Bernout family, I'm /hitleryouth/ and I'm not old enough to move out yet. ;_;

how is he winning landslide elections if he is so hated

it does not make any sense.

You're a lying son of a bitch, even with the windows rolled up if you pass through Portland the whole place reeks of liberal weakness. There's some nice working class suburbs left but they're getting taken over by mexicans and boxstores so who knows how long that'll last.

Prof. Helmut Norpoth

Wew, lad. Lurk more, post less.

Sage because shitposting.

HIGH ENERGY

Anyone notice this poll doesn't include the % of females/males polled? Or % of self identified dems/repubs/indys? It only mentions the % results.