POLLING IS DOWN 50-75% COMPARED TO 2012
twitter.com
Here's the number of state polls published between October 1-24:
State: 2012-2016
PA: 16-6
OH: 29-9
FL: 23-11
CO: 16-5
NH: 10-6
MI: 10-5
NV: 15-6
VA: 23-4
WI: 14-6
IA: 10-1
The total volume of publicly released polling in 2016 vs. 2012 is down significantly - 50-75% fewer polls are being released. Despite this, we're being told "believe the polls, Trump is losing". They hope to depress our vote turnout and make a loss seem inevitable. A reduction in polling makes you wonder; are they deliberately withholding information, or are they only releasing results favourable to Hillary?
Entire states are not even polled. For example, 0 polls were released for MN & CT, 1 for WA & NJ. In 2012, 6 polls were done for MN, NJ, & WA, and 10 for CT. Clinton is polling significantly behind Obama in 2012 in big Democratic states - 7 points back in WA, NY & MI, 5 back in IL, WI & OR. Clinton also polls behind Obama in swing states. She is 10 back in IA & ME, 4 back in CO, NV, OH & PA, 3 back in VA, 1-2 back in FL & NC. They struggle to maintain an illusion of her winning with these numbers so far behind the 2012 race by suppressing Trump's totals. Despite polling well back of Obama in almost every Dem & swing state, Hillary polls nationally equal Obama in '12 at 48%! Truly a mystery!
If Hillary polls 4 points back from Obama in swing states & 6 back in Dem states, her national number should be closer to 43% than 48%. They claim she makes this up in red states, but she polls even or 1-2 points worse than Obama in IN, GA, AZ, TX, UT, LA, OK, KS, MO, TN, NE. (((Nate Cohn))) & (((Nate Silver))) and Co. focus on Trump's poll numbers, not Hillary's, because that is the story the media wants to spin to you. But if we look at Hillary's numbers & project them out like Obama, she won't get a majority in any swing state or IL, WA, OR, NM, MN, or ME. If Hillary can't crack a majority of vote until we get to hardcore Democrat states like CA, MA, HI & MD, its hard to see her path of victory. She can't even break 50% in a poll of Vermont, a state Obama won w/ 67%. She is in fact 20 points behind Obama there!
If so many voters melted away from the Dems, where did they go? Pollsters want us to think they're "undecided" & 10% will vote 3rd party. This is pretty hard to accept. Is 1 in 10 of your friends & family voting Johnson, McMuffin, or Jill Stein? Obviously not. There is no social penalty for the most part for openly supporting Hillary, yet pollsters can't get people to say it even in secret. On the other hand, consequences of Trump support are dramatic. Is this a real pollster? Who knows. "No dude, I'm undecided/voting Johnson."